Nine Decisions
A copper cargo is priced eight times before anyone looks at a screen. Here is the lifecycle of a concentrate parcel, and why the assay lab decides more of the P&L than the trading desk.
Anish PujariSep 7, 2026 8 min read
Markets are stories the money tells itself, and this hub is where The Trading Narrative reads them out loud. It gathers our essays on business and financial mechanics: how commodity prices actually move, how desks position around OPEC+ decisions and USDA reports, how freight rates and yield curves leak information about the real economy, and how the shipping industry quietly sits on billion-dollar inefficiencies.
These essays favour mechanism over prediction. Instead of calling the next move in Brent, we unpack what a negative treatment charge means for smelter margins, why a 5% single-day slide in crude is really a stress test for intraday VaR, and what the first survey-based corn yield of the season does to grain volatility. The aim is that after each essay you understand one more gear in the machine, whether you run a book, build the systems behind one, or simply want to read markets with sharper eyes.
Trading, Business & Finance essays are the free backbone of the publication, and the weekly briefings live here too. Start with the latest edition, then work back through the archive.
A copper cargo is priced eight times before anyone looks at a screen. Here is the lifecycle of a concentrate parcel, and why the assay lab decides more of the P&L than the trading desk.
Anish PujariSep 7, 2026 8 min readA kilowatt-hour is identical physics in London and Mumbai. The price behind it is not. One system routes gas cargo risk through a quarterly cap. The other buries it in slabs, wheeling charges, and a fuel adjustment line most people never read. Who actually carries the commodity risk in each, and what a single delayed LNG cargo does to both.
Anish PujariSep 4, 2026 8 min readYou hedged, prices moved your way, and you still lost money. That is basis risk. The three kinds every desk carries, how they bite, and what managing them actually looks like.
Anish PujariSep 3, 2026 4 min readThe shape of the forward curve is the market's most honest sentence. What contango and backwardation really mean, how carry trades work, and the roll cost that quietly eats positions.
Anish PujariSep 3, 2026 4 min readNetbacks decide where a cargo goes. Here is how desks calculate them, how netforwards differ, and why the arb window your screen shows is rarely the one you can actually capture.
Anish PujariSep 3, 2026 4 min readA fifth of the world's oil passes through 33 kilometres of water. Why this episode is different, what LNG desks are navigating, and what the freight market is pricing.
Anish PujariAug 27, 2026 6 min readA record copper price is a data point. The supply pipeline, the energy transition bid, the China variable, and what commodity desks should actually watch.
Anish PujariAug 27, 2026 6 min readTC/RC stands for treatment and refining charges: the fees a smelter charges a miner to convert concentrate into refined metal. Why the benchmark moves, what negative TC/RCs mean, and why trading systems get the sign flip wrong.
Anish PujariAug 14, 2026 3 min readLaytime is the amount of time a charterparty allows for loading or discharging cargo before demurrage starts to accrue. How the clock starts, what pauses it, and why the wording of a laytime clause decides more P&L than most desks realise.
Anish PujariAug 14, 2026 3 min readDemurrage is charged when cargo occupies a vessel or terminal beyond the agreed free time; detention is charged when equipment is held outside the terminal past its return date. What each one costs, why the invoices are so often wrong, and how desks reduce both.
Anish PujariAug 14, 2026 3 min readETRM software manages energy trading across power, gas, and oil, while CTRM covers the full physical commodity lifecycle including metals, agriculture, and freight. A plain-English comparison from twelve years of delivering both, with a practical checklist for choosing.
Anish PujariAug 14, 2026 4 min readThree funds, one rebalancing rule, and the discipline to do nothing. Why the most effective investment strategy fits on an index card, and why almost nobody follows it.
Anish PujariAug 11, 2026 2 min readThe bond market prices in recessions, cuts, and regime shifts long before equity investors notice. A practical guide to extracting signal from rates without a Bloomberg terminal.
Anish PujariAug 11, 2026 3 min readCharlie Munger was right, the first $100k is a slog governed by savings rate, not returns. A stage-by-stage breakdown of what actually moves the needle at each net worth level.
Anish PujariAug 11, 2026 2 min readDemurrage is not an operational inconvenience, it is a systemic failure of data. The industry loses up to $15 billion a year to a problem that lives in inboxes and spreadsheets.
Anish PujariAug 7, 2026 7 min read